Paradiso 2-1 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradiso EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.70/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.76
-64% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradiso
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lugano II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
02.09.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 0-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradiso
2-1
AWAY Lugano II
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paradiso vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradiso squeezed past Lugano II 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Paradiso found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Paradiso had 39% of the ball to Lugano II's 61%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paradiso and 1.00 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Paradiso 2-1 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paradiso 38%, draw 29%, Lugano II 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradiso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paradiso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV1Y More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
30 Nov 2024
18:00 Young Boys II vs Vevey Sport Analysis →