Elversberg 1-3 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
12%
6.1
X/2
12%
6.89
X/X
12%
5.78
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.31
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.48
+30% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
16.1 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Paderborn
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
364 Passes 408
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 3-1 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
25.11.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 4-1 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
1-3
AWAY Paderborn
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
350 Passes 430
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn saw off Elversberg 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Paderborn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Elversberg had 46% of the ball to Paderborn's 54%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Elversberg and 2.00 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Paderborn?

Elversberg 1-3 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 38%, draw 25%, Paderborn 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elversberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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