30/11/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Eilenburg vs VFC Plauen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
31%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
32%
52%
Under 2.5
49%
48%
Over 2.5
51%
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
51%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eilenburg v VFC Plauen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Eilenburg
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
VFC Plauen
EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+44% /
+44%
1.74/1.29
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.05
+9%
/
+3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
+150%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
273 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Eilenburg vs VFC Plauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Eilenburg ran out comfortable winners over VFC Plauen 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Eilenburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Eilenburg vs VFC Plauen?
Eilenburg 4-0 VFC Plauen in the Germany - Regional League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs VFC Plauen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eilenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 37%, draw 31%, VFC Plauen 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eilenburg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Eilenburg)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
30 Nov 2024