El Bayadh 1-1 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
15%
7.0
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
36%
Draw
30%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 26%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.21/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-8% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Bayadh
1-1
AWAY Mostaganem
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh and Mostaganem couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 36% / 23% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, El Bayadh had 64% of the ball to Mostaganem's 36%, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs Mostaganem?

El Bayadh 1-1 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 41%, draw 36%, Mostaganem 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Bayadh), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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