USM Khenchela 1-0 Oued Akbou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Akbou EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
1.28/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-4% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Oued Akbou
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.04.2023 Oued Akbou Oued Akbou 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
1-0
AWAY Oued Akbou
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela squeezed past Oued Akbou 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 56% of the ball to Oued Akbou's 44%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou?

USM Khenchela 1-0 Oued Akbou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 43%, draw 31%, Oued Akbou 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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