Brest 3-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.66
6+ Goals
12%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
14%
5.23
X/2
12%
7.87
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.71
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.27/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.38
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.9 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
350 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-3 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FR1
07.12.2023 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
05.03.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
04.09.2022 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
07.05.2022 Brest Brest 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.08.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 2-1 Brest Brest FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
3-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
2.46 xG 1.02
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 531
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brest vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest got the better of RC Strasbourg 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Brest had 38% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.46 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brest and 1.00 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Brest vs RC Strasbourg?

Brest 3-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brest 45%, draw 24%, RC Strasbourg 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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