Rennes 5-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
19.45
X/1
20%
4.05
X/2
9%
12.05
X/X
8%
5.97
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
10%
9.98
2/X
7%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.91/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.09
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.2 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 0.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
452 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
05.12.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-5 HT 0-3 Rennes Rennes FR1
14.02.2021 Rennes Rennes 0-2 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
26.09.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-3 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
05.03.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FRK
01.12.2019 Rennes Rennes 2-1 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
5-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
3.36 xG 0.11
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
614 Passes 203
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes cruised past Saint-Etienne 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rennes had 72% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 28%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 3.36 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rennes and 0.83 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Saint-Etienne?

Rennes 5-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rennes 52%, draw 24%, Saint-Etienne 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2024
21:00 Brest vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
23:00 PSG vs Nantes Analysis →