St-Philbert 1-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 30 Nov 2024

St-Philbert
1-1 HT 1-0
Pau
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

St-Philbert vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
25%
8.11
Away
57%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.7pp
25%
Draw
9%
+16.1pp
57%
Away Win
86%
-28.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St-Philbert v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St-Philbert EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 91%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+46% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / –
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
176 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 90%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH St-Philbert vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St-Philbert and Pau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Pau carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of St-Philbert vs Pau?

St-Philbert 1-1 Pau in the France - Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St-Philbert vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split St-Philbert 18%, draw 25%, Pau 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pau), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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