Stade Lavallois 2-2 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Concarneau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.15 xG 1.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 536
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 1-3 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.11.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
18.04.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 2-2 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
22.11.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
24.04.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
04.12.2020 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
2-2
AWAY Concarneau
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Concarneau couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 55% of the ball to Concarneau's 45%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.33 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Concarneau?

Stade Lavallois 2-2 Concarneau in the France - Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 39%, draw 24%, Concarneau 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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