ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
1-0 HT 0-0
Chennaiyin FC
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v Chennaiyin FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.38
+15% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.3 Crosses 21.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-3 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
07.10.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-3 HT 0-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
21.01.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
10.10.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-2 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
03.03.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-1 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
11.12.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
1-0
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
0.71 xG 0.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
364 Passes 153
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan nicked a narrow win over Chennaiyin FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 64% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.17 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC?

ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 51%, draw 26%, Chennaiyin FC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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