Croatia Zmijavci 0-1 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.18/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.75
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -56%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
226 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-2 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
05.05.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 3-0 HT 3-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
19.11.2023 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-1 HT 0-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
0-1
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo nicked a narrow win over Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Croatia Zmijavci at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 63% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 37%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.00 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo?

Croatia Zmijavci 0-1 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 42%, draw 28%, Bijelo Brdo 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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