Bijelo Brdo 2-2 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.14/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.38
-17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.05.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 3-0 HT 3-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
19.11.2023 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-1 HT 0-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
2-2
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo and Croatia Zmijavci couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 53% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 47%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 2.00 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Bijelo Brdo 2-2 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated an Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 35%, draw 29%, Croatia Zmijavci 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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