Zrinski Jurjevac 0-2 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.41/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.89
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 4-1 HT 2-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
01.03.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 3-0 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
POST-MATCH Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje saw off Zrinski Jurjevac 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Dugopolje made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zrinski Jurjevac had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Zrinski Jurjevac and 0.50 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dugopolje?

Zrinski Jurjevac 0-2 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinski Jurjevac win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zrinski Jurjevac 38%, draw 30%, Dugopolje 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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