Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.15/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.12
+50% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
3W-0D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
08.03.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 4-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
14.10.2023 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
2-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete edged past HNK Cibalia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radnik Sesvete as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 51% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 49%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 0.33 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia?

Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 41%, draw 29%, HNK Cibalia 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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