Jong Almere City 1-1 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 36%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.57/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.34
-15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
1-1
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City and BVV Barendrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Almere City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 54% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs BVV Barendrecht?

Jong Almere City 1-1 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 42%, draw 23%, BVV Barendrecht 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Almere City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
30 Nov 2024
16:30 GVVV vs Koninklijke HFC Analysis →
16:30 HHC Hardenberg vs ADO 20 Analysis →
16:30 Scheveningen vs Rijnsburgse Boys Analysis →
16:30 Noordwijk vs SV Spakenburg Analysis →
16:30 ACV vs De Treffers Analysis →
16:30 Excelsior Maassluis vs Katwijk Analysis →