Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
11%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.2pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.37/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.01
+34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.03.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
01.10.2023 Naft Gachsaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr edged past Naft Gachsaran 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Ario Eslamshahr made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ario Eslamshahr led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 0.50 for Ario Eslamshahr.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 39%, draw 32%, Ario Eslamshahr 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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