Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.77/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.51
+106% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0-2
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) got the better of Nojima Stella (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 48% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 52%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 32%, draw 26%, Albirex Niigata (K) 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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