Ballinamallard United 1-2 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.58/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.89
-24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dundela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
31.08.2024 Dundela Dundela 3-3 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
11.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.11.2022 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
03.09.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.02.2022 Dundela Dundela 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela nicked a narrow win over Ballinamallard United 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ballinamallard United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.17 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Dundela?

Ballinamallard United 1-2 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 48%, draw 24%, Dundela 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballinamallard United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
30 Nov 2024
17:00 Limavady United vs Newington Youth Analysis →
18:00 Harland & Wolff Welders vs Ards FC Analysis →
18:00 Bangor FC vs Armagh City Analysis →
18:00 Ballyclare Comrades vs Institute FC Analysis →