Jerv 1-3 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

Jerv
1-3 HT 0-1
Mjondalen
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Jerv vs Mjondalen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jerv v Mjondalen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +34%
1.20/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.01
-18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.7

Jerv vs Mjondalen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mjondalen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
23.08.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-2 HT 1-2 Jerv Jerv NOR1
03.05.2023 Jerv Jerv 2-3 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
21.10.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
22.04.2018 Jerv Jerv 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
01.10.2017 Jerv Jerv 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen got the better of Jerv 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjondalen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jerv and 1.50 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Mjondalen?

Jerv 1-3 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jerv 31%, draw 28%, Mjondalen 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjondalen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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