Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.34/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.11
+10% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +70%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.8 Crosses 22.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
290 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
26.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.07.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-2
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.02 xG 1.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Zeleznicar Pancevo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 62% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 38%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.02 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.33 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 35%, draw 29%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
30 Nov 2024
16:00 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →
16:55 FK Partizan vs Jedinstvo Ub Analysis →
19:00 Mladost Lucani vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →