Amed SK 3-2 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

Amed SK
3-2 HT 2-0
Manisa FK
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Amed SK vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.4
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
12%
4.01
X/2
7%
8.67
X/X
11%
4.68
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
7.02
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amed SK v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 25%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.03/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.40
-80% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.3 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Amed SK 3-2 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
3-2
AWAY Manisa FK
1.74 xG 1.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
331 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amed SK had 54% of the ball to Manisa FK's 46%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.74 to 1.92.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Manisa FK?

Amed SK 3-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 42%, draw 26%, Manisa FK 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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