Çorum FK 0-1 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 39% vs market 33.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
17%
6.0
X/X
16%
4.05
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
6%
4.73
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.20
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
25.6 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.39 xG 1.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 228
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
10.12.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 4-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
0-1
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
340 Passes 247
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK edged past Çorum FK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Çorum FK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Çorum FK had 57% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 43%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Çorum FK and 1.50 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Çorum FK 0-1 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 41%, draw 32%, Erzurumspor FK 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Çorum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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