Nakhon Pathom 0-3 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 40%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.07/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.62
-19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
7.0 Crosses 19.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.07 xG 0.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
167 Passes 246
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
28.10.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
13.03.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 3-1 HT 2-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY1
31.10.2021 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0-3
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.50 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
248 Passes 141
71% Pass Accuracy 58%
19 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior cruised past Nakhon Pathom 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lamphun Warrior found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 57% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 43%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.50 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nakhon Pathom and 1.25 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Lamphun Warrior?

Nakhon Pathom 0-3 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 39%, draw 28%, Lamphun Warrior 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nakhon Pathom), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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