Livyi Bereh 1-1 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.38
Over 2.5
29%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
16%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.3pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
71%
Under 2.5
69%
+1.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
31%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.76/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.73
-32% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livyi Bereh
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Corners 6
02.06.2024 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-1 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
29.05.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
03.03.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
20.08.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-2 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Livyi Bereh vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livyi Bereh and Obolon Kyiv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Obolon Kyiv led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.00 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Livyi Bereh vs Obolon Kyiv?

Livyi Bereh 1-1 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livyi Bereh vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Obolon Kyiv win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Livyi Bereh 30%, draw 35%, Obolon Kyiv 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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