Kryvbas KR 3-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.90/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.54
-18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +92%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Polessya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
30.10.2024 Polessya Polessya 2-1 HT 1-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKRK
13.05.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
06.11.2023 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR got the better of Polessya 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Kryvbas KR made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kryvbas KR and 1.33 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Polessya?

Kryvbas KR 3-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 40%, draw 30%, Polessya 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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