Polessya 2-1 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.41
Over 2.5
44%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
32%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
67%
-10.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
33%
+10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 32%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.05.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
06.11.2023 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya edged past Kryvbas KR 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polessya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polessya and 0.50 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

Polessya 2-1 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Polessya 46%, draw 29%, Kryvbas KR 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5
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