UCSA 1-4 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

UCSA
1-4 HT 0-4
Oleksandria
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ukraine - Cup – 2024/2025

UCSA vs Oleksandria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UCSA v Oleksandria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCSA EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH UCSA vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria ran out comfortable winners over UCSA 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Oleksandria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of UCSA vs Oleksandria?

UCSA 1-4 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCSA vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCSA win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split UCSA 36%, draw 28%, Oleksandria 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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