Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/1.22
+149% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +50%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
18.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
24.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
13.11.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
15.10.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6-1 HT 3-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
28.02.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk squeezed past Zorya Luhansk 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.00 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 58%, draw 22%, Zorya Luhansk 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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