Vorskla Poltava 1-2 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 15
6 Yellow Cards 4
18.09.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 3-1 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
31.03.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-5 HT 0-2 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
18.09.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
23.10.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
06.11.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev nicked a narrow win over Vorskla Poltava 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 2.33 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev?

Vorskla Poltava 1-2 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 26%, draw 27%, Dynamo Kiev 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKRK More Ukraine - Cup
30 Oct 2024
13:00 Probiy vs Bukovyna Analysis →
14:00 UCSA vs Oleksandria Analysis →
16:30 Polessya vs Kryvbas KR Analysis →
19:00 Veres Rivne vs Obolon-Brovar Analysis →
19:00 Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk Analysis →
19:00 Viktoriya Myk. vs LNZ Cherkasy Analysis →