Juve Stabia 2-2 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.25
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
14.15
X/1
11%
7.69
X/2
17%
4.78
X/X
15%
3.73
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.96
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 14.15 — our 8% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.22/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.39
+4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.1 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
2-2
AWAY Monza
1.52 xG 2.35
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
436 Passes 231
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia and Monza couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 62% of the ball to Monza's 38%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.52 to 2.35.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Monza?

Juve Stabia 2-2 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 26%, draw 29%, Monza 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✗ Under 2.5
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