Spezia vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Spezia
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTA
Spezia 1-0 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia edged past Sampdoria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Spezia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Spezia had 43% of the ball to Sampdoria's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.88 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spezia and 0.67 for Sampdoria.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Sampdoria?
Spezia 1-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Sampdoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spezia 39%, draw 28%, Sampdoria 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.