Sampdoria 0-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 39% vs market 32.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.64
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
7%
6.3
X/2
14%
5.29
X/X
17%
3.7
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.6
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
0.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.95
-32% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
15.0 Crosses 20.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
24.11.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 1-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
22.04.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTA
17.09.2022 Spezia Spezia 2-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
23.01.2022 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
22.10.2021 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 2-0 Spezia Spezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
0-0
AWAY Spezia
0.52 xG 1.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
228 Passes 316
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 45
11 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria and Spezia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sampdoria had 44% of the ball to Spezia's 56%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.52 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sampdoria and 1.00 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Spezia?

Sampdoria 0-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 29%, draw 32%, Spezia 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spezia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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