Reggiana 0-1 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.21
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
15%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.6
X/X
21%
3.45
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.18
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.12/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.02
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.7 Crosses 16.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Modena
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.27 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
396 Passes 292
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
02.12.2023 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
02.02.2022 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTC
06.09.2021 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
27.10.2019 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
0-1
AWAY Modena
0.89 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
358 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena nicked a narrow win over Reggiana 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Modena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Reggiana had 54% of the ball to Modena's 46%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Reggiana and 0.60 for Modena.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Modena?

Reggiana 0-1 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 32%, draw 35%, Modena 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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