Südtirol 2-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.96
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.46
X/2
9%
7.2
X/X
11%
3.89
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
5.85
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.98/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.29
+46% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.5 Crosses 12.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
24.10.2021 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
08.03.2021 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
11.11.2020 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
19.04.2015 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-1 Mantova Mantova İTC
06.12.2014 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
2-2
AWAY Mantova
1.68 xG 2.16
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
170 Passes 512
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
23 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Mantova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Südtirol at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Südtirol had 30% of the ball to Mantova's 70%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.68 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 0.50 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Mantova?

Südtirol 2-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 43%, draw 27%, Mantova 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Südtirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ BTTS Yes
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