Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Dec 2024

Frosinone
1-2 HT 1-1
Sassuolo
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Frosinone vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 36% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.69
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
4%
15.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
8.52
X/2
13%
4.16
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.46
2/X
9%
14.3
Value flag · X/1 at 8.52 — our 18% vs market 8.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.1pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Frosinone v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.16/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.13
+34% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
16.5 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Frosinone vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
248 Passes 398
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
17.09.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 4-2 HT 1-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
05.05.2019 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 0-2 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
16.12.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
08.05.2016 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
06.01.2016 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 1-2 Frosinone Frosinone İTA

Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
1-2
AWAY Sassuolo
0.56 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
389 Passes 549
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo nicked a narrow win over Frosinone 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 43% of the ball to Sassuolo's 57%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.56 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Frosinone and 1.67 for Sassuolo.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 30%, draw 26%, Sassuolo 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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