Cesena 2-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.33
X/2
7%
7.99
X/X
11%
3.98
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
15%
6.51
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
1.53/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
+4% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.1 Crosses 19.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
2-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
2.02 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
243 Passes 423
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena squeezed past Cosenza Calcio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cesena had 40% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 60%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.02 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Cosenza Calcio?

Cesena 2-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cesena 45%, draw 26%, Cosenza Calcio 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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