Reggiana 1-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.71
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
4%
11.9
X/1
13%
6.48
X/2
11%
5.51
X/X
17%
3.34
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
9%
11.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.11/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.92
-13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
16.9 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Modena
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.54 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
02.02.2022 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTC
06.09.2021 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
27.10.2019 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-0
AWAY Modena
1.99 xG 0.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
481 Passes 299
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana squeezed past Modena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Reggiana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Reggiana had 59% of the ball to Modena's 41%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.99 to 0.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Reggiana's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Reggiana and 0.75 for Modena.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Modena?

Reggiana 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 36%, draw 30%, Modena 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reggiana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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