Ascoli 0-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.46
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
13%
6.24
X/X
16%
3.53
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.1
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.36
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.7 Crosses 21.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
318 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 3-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
13.05.2023 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
18.12.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-3 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
22.01.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-3 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
22.08.2021 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
02.04.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-1 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.13 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
257 Passes 281
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio squeezed past Ascoli 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Cosenza Calcio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ascoli had 49% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 51%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ascoli.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ascoli and 1.33 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Cosenza Calcio?

Ascoli 0-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 39%, draw 31%, Cosenza Calcio 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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