Como 2-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
12%
3.82
X/2
9%
9.82
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1
12%
24.0
2/2
11%
7.92
2/X
8%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.55/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.8 Crosses 23.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cittadella
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
257 Passes 285
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 0-3 HT 0-2 Como Como İTB
19.05.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
26.12.2022 Como Como 2-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
09.04.2022 Como Como 1-2 HT 1-2 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
01.12.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 2-2 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
23.12.2001 Cittadella Cittadella 2-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
2-1
AWAY Cittadella
1.82 xG 1.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
417 Passes 157
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Como vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como squeezed past Cittadella 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como had 66% of the ball to Cittadella's 34%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.82 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Como and 1.00 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Como vs Cittadella?

Como 2-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Como 49%, draw 26%, Cittadella 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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