Südtirol vs Ternana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Südtirol v Ternana — Team-Based Signals
Südtirol vs Ternana Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Südtirol
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Südtirol
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Ternana
İTB
Südtirol 4-3 Ternana — Actual Match Statistics
Südtirol edged past Ternana 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Südtirol as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Südtirol had 66% of the ball to Ternana's 34%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.64 to 1.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Südtirol's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Südtirol and 0.33 for Ternana.
What was the final score of Südtirol vs Ternana?
Südtirol 4-3 Ternana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Ternana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 41%, draw 25%, Ternana 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.