Cremonese 2-1 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2024

Cremonese
2-1 HT 1-0
Pisa
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cremonese vs Pisa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
13%
7.1
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.08
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.9
Value flag · 2/X at 12.9 — our 12% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cremonese v Pisa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.48/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.7 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cremonese vs Pisa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pisa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.45 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
270 Passes 235
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
13.03.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
28.10.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
06.02.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 2-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
04.10.2020 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
31.01.2020 Cremonese Cremonese 3-4 HT 2-1 Pisa Pisa İTB

Cremonese 2-1 Pisa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
2-1
AWAY Pisa
1.39 xG 0.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
314 Passes 419
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese nicked a narrow win over Pisa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Cremonese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cremonese had 44% of the ball to Pisa's 56%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.39 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pisa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cremonese and 1.67 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Pisa?

Cremonese 2-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 40%, draw 29%, Pisa 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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