FeralpiSalo 2-2 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2024

FeralpiSalo
2-2 HT 2-2
Brescia
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

FeralpiSalo vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.59
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.41
X/2
11%
5.85
X/X
10%
4.3
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.01
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FeralpiSalo v Brescia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 37%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.18/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.37
+22% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.3 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

FeralpiSalo vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Brescia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 3.10
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
203 Passes 425
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB

FeralpiSalo 2-2 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-2
AWAY Brescia
1.88 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
252 Passes 271
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo and Brescia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 49% of the ball to Brescia's 51%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.88 to 1.59.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Brescia?

FeralpiSalo 2-2 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 39%, draw 25%, Brescia 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FeralpiSalo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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