Spezia vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Spezia
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Sampdoria
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Sampdoria
İTA
Spezia 2-0 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia got the better of Sampdoria 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Spezia had 57% of the ball to Sampdoria's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spezia and 0.67 for Sampdoria.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Sampdoria?
Spezia 2-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Sampdoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spezia 47%, draw 24%, Sampdoria 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.