Palermo 5-3 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.12
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
10%
6.25
X/2
12%
5.68
X/X
13%
4.64
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
20%
3.56
2/X
10%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.28/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.06
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.5 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sassuolo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 2.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
292 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.01.2017 Sassuolo Sassuolo 4-1 HT 2-1 Palermo Palermo İTA
21.08.2016 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
07.02.2016 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTA
23.09.2015 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
02.05.2015 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
5-3
AWAY Sassuolo
1.78 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
375 Passes 428
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo beat Sassuolo 5-3. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Palermo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Palermo had 48% of the ball to Sassuolo's 52%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.78 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Palermo and 1.67 for Sassuolo.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Sassuolo?

Palermo 5-3 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Palermo 32%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 40%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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