Catanzaro 3-3 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.21
6+ Goals
11%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.26
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.02
X/2
11%
6.63
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.03
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.22
+41% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.9 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 375
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
27.02.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.09.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.03.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
30.10.2021 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 2-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
21.03.2021 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
3-3
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.54 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
431 Passes 258
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 24
33 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and FC Bari 1908 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Catanzaro at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 60% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.54 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Catanzaro and 1.17 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908?

Catanzaro 3-3 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 44%, draw 27%, FC Bari 1908 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Catanzaro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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