Spezia vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Spezia
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Sampdoria
İTA
Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia and Sampdoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
This one beat our numbers. Spezia carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Spezia had 50% of the ball to Sampdoria's 50%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.62 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spezia and 0.67 for Sampdoria.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Sampdoria?
Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Cup on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Sampdoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Spezia 55%, draw 26%, Sampdoria 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spezia) went the other way.