Udinese 2-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 18 Aug 2025

Udinese
2-0 HT 1-0
Carrarese
📅18/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Udinese vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
6+ Goals
13%
12.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.72
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.95
X/1
24%
3.71
X/2
4%
13.65
X/X
8%
5.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.2
2/2
6%
12.15
2/X
5%
20.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
65%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Udinese v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
3.18/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+51% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.3 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Udinese 2-0 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
2-0
AWAY Carrarese
2.07 xG 0.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
465 Passes 318
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese got the better of Carrarese 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Udinese as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Udinese had 58% of the ball to Carrarese's 42%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.07 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Carrarese?

Udinese 2-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Cup on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Udinese 66%, draw 20%, Carrarese 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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