Torino 1-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 18 Aug 2025

Torino
1-0 HT 0-0
Modena
📅18/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Torino vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 24% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.88
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
20%
3.84
X/2
4%
11.85
X/X
11%
5.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.1
2/2
8%
10.3
2/X
5%
18.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.1 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torino v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.53/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.37
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -43%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
38.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
26.8 Crosses 7.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.6

Torino vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Modena
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
28.07.2023 Torino Torino 2-1 Modena Modena HAZ
20.05.2012 Torino Torino 2-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
17.12.2011 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTB
22.04.2011 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-1 Torino Torino İTB
20.11.2010 Torino Torino 3-2 HT 1-2 Modena Modena İTB
20.03.2010 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTB

Torino 1-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
1-0
AWAY Modena
0.39 xG 0.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
398 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Torino vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino nicked a narrow win over Modena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torino as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Torino had 58% of the ball to Modena's 42%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.39 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Torino and 1.00 for Modena.

What was the final score of Torino vs Modena?

Torino 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Cup on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Torino 61%, draw 22%, Modena 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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