Audace Cerignola 1-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 18 Aug 2025

Audace Cerignola
1-1 HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
📅18/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Audace Cerignola vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
34%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.77
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.78 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
13.05
1/2
13%
20.9
1/X
3%
21.2
X/1
8%
15.7
X/2
17%
3.83
X/X
13%
7.13
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.58
2/X
7%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
52%
Away Win
68%
-15.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Audace Cerignola v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Audace Cerignola 1-1 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.61 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola and Hellas Verona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hellas Verona at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 51% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 49%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.61 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Hellas Verona?

Audace Cerignola 1-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Cup on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 24%, draw 23%, Hellas Verona 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hellas Verona), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellas Verona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTK More Italy - Cup
18 Aug 2025
19:30 Spezia vs Sampdoria Analysis →
21:45 Udinese vs Carrarese Analysis →
22:15 Torino vs Modena Analysis →