Hamburg 2-1 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 30 Nov 2025

Hamburg
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Stuttgart
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.16
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
26%
2.96
6+
8%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.93
1/2 ✗
3%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
12%
6.34
X/2
13%
5.82
X/X
15%
5.21
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
22%
3.44
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Hamburg v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hamburg The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart The Market 42%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
1.39 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Bad Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Hamburg vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.50 xG 2.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.06.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 1-3 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1P
01.06.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1P
28.05.2020 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
29.10.2019 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AFK
26.10.2019 Hamburg Hamburg 6-2 HT 3-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
31.03.2018 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL1

Hamburg 2-1 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
2 - 1
AWAY Stuttgart
0.98 xG 0.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
200 Passes 471
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Hamburg vs Stuttgart
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hamburg found just enough to beat Stuttgart 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

From a near-even 35% / 27% / 38% read, it was Hamburg who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Hamburg had 34% of the ball to Stuttgart's 66%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.98 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hamburg and 2.33 for Stuttgart.

Hamburg vs Stuttgart Result & Final Score

Hamburg 2 - 1 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 35%, draw 27%, Stuttgart 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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